- 20 Marks
Question
The fact that the monetary authorities are unable to control both the growth of money supply and interest rates in a free market economy is widely acknowledged in monetary and financial circles. How would you explain this assertion? Use the appropriate diagram in your analysis.
(20 Marks)
Answer
In a free market economy, monetary authorities like BoG face a trade-off between targeting money supply and interest rates due to the liquidity preference and IS-LM framework. They can set one (e.g., via OMOs), but the other adjusts endogenously to market forces. Targeting money supply (vertical MS curve) lets rates fluctuate with demand shifts; targeting rates (horizontal MS at target rate) lets supply adjust. This impossibility arises from unpredictable velocity, expectations, and external shocks, as per Friedman’s critique of fine-tuning.
Explanation:
- Money Demand (MD): Downward sloping; higher rates reduce holding money.
- If target MS growth (e.g., fixed MS), rate clears at MD-MS intersection; demand increase raises rates.
- If target rate (e.g., fixed i), adjust MS to meet MD; can’t control MS volume.
- In Ghana, BoG’s inflation targeting prioritizes rates (MPR), allowing M2 to vary (e.g., 20-30% growth post-2022 crisis).
Diagram (IS-LM style for money market):
| Interest Rate (i) |
|---|
| ^ |
| MS (vertical for supply target) or horizontal for rate target |
| —————-> Money (M) |
For supply target: Fixed vertical MS; equilibrium i where intersects MD. Shift MD right: i rises, MS fixed. For rate target: Horizontal MS at i*; shift MD: MS shifts to new intersection, MS changes.
This dilemma, evident in Ghana’s shift from money targeting (pre-2002) to rate-focused policy, underscores limits of control in open economies with capital flows.
- Tags: Diagram, Free Market Economy, Interest rates, Monetary Authorities, Money Supply
- Level: Level 2
- Topic: The money supply
- Series: OCT 2022
- Uploader: Samuel Duah