FM – L2 – Q84 – Discounted cash flow

A company is considering whether to invest in a new item of equipment costing GH₵45,000 to make a new product. The product would have a four-year life, and the estimated cash profits over the four-year period are as follows.

Year GH₵
1 17,000
2 25,000
3 16,000
4 4,000

The project would also need an investment in working capital of GH₵8,000, from the beginning of Year 1.
The company uses a discount rate of 11% to evaluate its investments.
Required
Calculate the NPV of the project at the discount rate of 11%.
Using the NPV you have calculated at 11%, and the NPV at a discount rate of 15%, estimate the internal rate of return (IRR) of the project.

NPV at 11%

Year Cash flow (GH₵) Discount factor (11%) Present value (GH₵)
0 (53,000) 1.000 (53,000)
1 17,000 0.901 15,317
2 25,000 0.812 20,300
3 16,000 0.731 11,696
4 12,000 0.659 7,908
NPV 2,221

Workings:

  • Initial investment: Equipment cost GH₵45,000 + Working capital GH₵8,000 = GH₵53,000
  • Year 4 cash flow: Cash profit GH₵4,000 + Recovery of working capital GH₵8,000 = GH₵12,000

NPV at 15%

Year Cash flow (GH₵) Discount factor (15%) Present value (GH₵)
0 (53,000) 1.000 (53,000)
1 17,000 0.870 14,790
2 25,000 0.756 18,900
3 16,000 0.658 10,528
4 12,000 0.572 6,864
NPV (2,918)

IRR Estimation
Using the interpolation formula:
IRR = A + [(a / (a – b)) × (B – A)]
Where:

  • A = Lower discount rate (11%)
  • B = Higher discount rate (15%)
  • a = NPV at lower rate (GH₵2,221)
  • b = NPV at higher rate (GH₵-2,918)

IRR = 11% + [(2,221 / (2,221 – (-2,918))) × (15% – 11%)]
= 11% + [(2,221 / 5,139) × 4%]
= 11% + [0.432 × 4%]
= 11% + 1.73%
= 12.73% (approximately)