- 20 Marks
Question
a) Identify five (5) risks associated with sovereign lending transactions. [10 marks]
b) Describe five (5) key characteristics of bonds. [10 marks]
c) Describe what constitutes a default and describe five (5) events that would constitute default by a customer in a term loan transaction. [10 marks]
[Total marks:30]
Answer
a) Sovereign lending involves loans to governments or state entities, fraught with unique risks due to immunity and politics. From my experience in risk management at GCB Bank, especially post-2017 collapses like UT Bank from poor sovereign exposure, five key risks are:
- Political Risk: Changes in government policy or instability leading to repudiation, as in Ghana’s DDEP restructuring affecting bondholders.
- Sovereign Immunity: Legal barriers to enforcement under the State Immunity Act 1978, complicating asset seizure in Ghanaian courts.
- Transfer Risk: Restrictions on currency conversion/transfer due to exchange controls under Act 723, exacerbated by BoG interventions.
- Economic Risk: Downturns reducing repayment capacity, like Ghana’s 2023 inflation post-DDEP.
- Legal Risk: Jurisdictional issues in enforcing judgments, per Brussels/Lugano Conventions, with act of state doctrine shielding actions.
b) Bonds are debt instruments issued for funding, key in Ghana’s market post-recapitalization. Five characteristics:
- Fixed Income: Pay periodic interest (coupon) and principal at maturity, e.g., Ghana’s Eurobonds with semi-annual coupons.
- Maturity: Defined term (short/long), redeemable at par; callable bonds allow early redemption.
- Credit Rating: Assessed by agencies (e.g., Moody’s), influencing yield; Ghana’s bonds downgraded during DDEP.
- Secured/Unsecured: Backed by assets or general credit; sovereign bonds often unsecured.
- Transferability: Tradable on secondary markets, enhancing liquidity under BoG’s sustainable banking principles.
c) Default constitutes failure to meet obligations under a term loan agreement, triggering remedies like acceleration. It’s a breach allowing lender action, per covenants in facility letters. Five events constituting default by a customer:
- Non-Payment: Missing principal/interest, after grace period (e.g., 5 days), common in Ghana amid liquidity crunches.
- Breach of Covenant: Violating financial ratios (e.g., debt-service coverage <1.5x) or negative pledges, monitored under BoG’s CRD.
- Cross-Default: Default on other debts exceeding threshold (e.g., GH₵1M), amplifying risk as in syndicated loans.
- Insolvency: Bankruptcy proceedings or inability to pay debts, per Insolvency Act, 2006 (Act 708).
- Material Adverse Change (MAC): Significant deterioration in borrower’s position, subjective but key in volatile sectors like Ghana’s oil post-DDEP.
- Tags: Bond Characteristics, default events, Sovereign Lending Risks, term loans
- Level: Level 4
- Topic: Sovereign Risk/Sovereign Immunity Series
- Series: OCT 2022
- Uploader: Samuel Duah